Wednesday, December 2, 2015

AUD/USD - Aussie Jumps as Australian GDP Shines

The Australian greenback is regular on Wednesday, as AUD/USD trades barely above the Zero.73 line early the North American session. The Aussie posted robust features following a superb Australian GDP report. Within the US, the ADP Nonfarm Payrolls simply beat expectations, posting a achieve of 217 thousand. We might see additional motion from the pair on Thursday, as there are a number of key occasions. Australia releases Commerce Stability, whereas the US will launch Unemployment Claims and the ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. As nicely, Federal Reserve head Janet Yellen will testify earlier than the Joint Financial Committee in Washington.


Australian GDP posted a robust achieve of Zero.9% within the third quarter, beating the estimate of Zero.7%. The Aussie took full benefit of the constructive report and posted features of near 100 factors, as AUD/USD trades at its highest degree in 7 weeks. Earlier within the week, the RBA held rates of interest at 2.00%, and the RBA assertion had an optimistic tone concerning the financial system, serving to the Australian greenback achieve floor. Earlier within the week, there have been no surprises from the RBA, which held rates of interest at 2.00%. The central financial institution reiterated that it might contemplate chopping charges if the financial system took a flip for the more severe. We have heard this document typically earlier than, however the RBA sounded considerably optimistic concerning the Australian financial system, stating that “the prospects for an enchancment in financial circumstances had firmed a bit of over current months”. Though one might argue that this was a fairly tepid thumbs-up on the a part of policymakers, it was nonetheless sufficient of a springboard for buyers to snap up Australian dollars, sending the foreign money to larger ranges.


Within the US, this week’s employment numbers kicked off in type, with a robust surge from ADP Nonfarm Payrolls. The important thing indicator climbed to 217 thousand, simply beating the estimate of 191 thousand. This marked a pointy rebound from the earlier launch of 182 thousand. On Thursday, we’ll get a take a look at Unemployment Claims, adopted by the official NFP on Friday. With the markets abuzz over persevering with hypothesis a few price hike later within the month, these employment releases might be underneath the market microscope and will end in volatility on the foreign money markets.


US manufacturing knowledge has been something however spectacular in current readings, and this was underlined by a gentle studying from ISM Manufacturing PMI on Tuesday. The important thing index slipped to 48.6 factors in November. This determine fell in need of the estimate of 50.6 factors, and marked the primary contraction from the index since Might 2013. Manufacturing knowledge in October was additionally mushy – the Empire State Manufacturing Index posted a dismal studying of -10.7 factors, worse than the estimate of -5.three factors. This marked a fourth straight decline by the necessary indicator. As properly, Philly Fed Manufacturing Index posted a weak achieve of 1.9 factors. This unfavorable development factors to bother within the manufacturing sector and will weigh on the US greenback.


AUD/USD Fundamentals


Wednesday (Dec.2)


  • 00:30 RBA Governor Stevens Speaks

  • 00:30 Australian GDP. Estimate Zero.9%. Precise Zero.7%

  • 1:00 US FOMC Member Lael Brainard Speaks

  • 13:10 US FOMC Member Dennis Lockhart Speaks

  • 13:15 ADP Nonfarm Employment Change. Estimate 191Okay. Precise 217Okay

  • 13:30 US Fed Chair Janet Yellen Speaks

  • 13:30 US Revised Nonfarm Productiveness. Estimate 2.2%. Precise 2.2%

  • 13:30 US Revised Unit Labor Prices. Estimate 1.1%. Precise 1.eight%

  • 15:30 US Crude Oil Inventories. Estimate -Zero.6M

  • 17:25 US Fed Chair Janet Yellen Speaks

  • 19:00 US Beige Guide

  • 23:30 Australian AIG Providers Index

  • 20:40 US FOMC Member John Williams Speaks

Upcoming Key Occasions


Thursday (Dec. three)


  • 00:30 Australian Commerce Stability. Estimate -2.61B

  • 13:30 US Unemployment Claims. Estimate 269Okay

  • 15:00 Fed Chair Janet Yellen Testifies

  • 15:00 ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI. Estimate 58.1 factors

*Key releases are highlighted in daring


*All launch occasions are GMT



AUD/USD - Aussie Jumps as Australian GDP Shines

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